Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.459181 1.663503 1.885833 2.145696 2.441092 2.766448 3.152032
2025-11-02 1.132613 1.408520 1.735171 2.150323 2.663975 3.278831 4.071186
2025-11-09 0.928352 1.226302 1.600289 2.104012 2.764889 3.602829 4.747040
2025-11-16 0.806505 1.119445 1.531546 2.113672 2.915009 3.980042 5.504934
2025-11-23 0.720846 1.044550 1.488952 2.143198 3.082154 4.382091 6.321366
2025-11-30 0.640019 0.963977 1.425665 2.131053 3.181973 4.691140 7.026977
2025-12-07 0.565580 0.882569 1.350060 2.088998 3.228224 4.919871 7.627791
2025-12-14 0.498893 0.804545 1.269872 2.028962 3.237004 5.087370 8.143277
2025-12-21 0.450694 0.749540 1.218232 2.005704 3.296658 5.332178 8.793337
2025-12-28 0.428355 0.733285 1.225051 2.074487 3.506331 5.826203 9.880198
2026-01-04 0.389964 0.686264 1.177020 2.047431 3.554147 6.059465 10.553237
2026-01-11 0.370395 0.669142 1.176620 2.099554 3.737956 6.530020 11.663463
2026-01-18 0.337292 0.628276 1.137366 2.090735 3.833634 6.890091 12.673904
2026-01-25 0.308694 0.593089 1.105716 2.094545 3.956754 7.318310 13.867287
2026-02-01 0.277006 0.548222 1.051253 2.049451 3.983468 7.572571 14.762101
2026-02-08 0.256189 0.521598 1.027475 2.058861 4.112131 8.024495 16.072444
2026-02-15 0.239925 0.501974 1.014713 2.087627 4.279937 8.564448 17.605395
2026-02-22 0.220890 0.474511 0.983520 2.075795 4.364662 8.948937 18.863916
2026-03-01 0.200942 0.442866 0.940512 2.034824 4.384746 9.204558 19.881170
2026-03-08 0.181496 0.410101 0.891747 1.976334 4.361380 9.367493 20.717199
2026-03-15 0.167238 0.387112 0.861226 1.953675 4.411871 9.688002 21.921373
2026-03-22 0.161665 0.383003 0.871031 2.020686 4.665414 10.465027 24.205349
2026-03-29 0.149267 0.361820 0.840895 1.994327 4.706165 10.779963 25.478850